ADR
American Depository Receipt. The shares of non-US companies trade on US exchanges as ADRs.
Advance / Decline Line
A chart showing the cumulative difference between the number of advancing stocks and the number
of declining stocks. For example, if 1700 stocks rise on a given day and 800 stocks fall, the difference
(+900) would be added to the cumulative total from the previous day. The Advance / Decline Line is
a measure of market breadth.
Backwardation
If the price of a commodity in the futures market is lower for the more distant contracts than it is for
the nearer contracts, the commodity is said to be in backwardation. Backwardation is the opposite of
contango. Oil is generally in backwardation whereas gold is generally in
contango.
Balance Sheet
A schedule of assets and liabilities. A balance sheet must balance, that is, the assets must equal the
liabilities.
Basis Point
0.01%. For example, if an interest rate rises from 6% to 6.5%, it is said to have increased by 50 basis
points.
Bear Market
A market that consistently makes lower highs and lower lows, that is, a market where the primary
price trend is down.
BoE
Bank of England -- the British central bank.
BOJ
Bank of Japan -- the Japanese central bank.
Bond
A long term debt instrument (usually 10 years or longer) issued by a government or a corporation.
Breadth
Refer to Advance / Decline Line.
Bubble
A thin film of liquid holding gas or air. Commonly used to refer to a market where prices have risen
to unsustainable levels.
Bull Market
A market that consistently makes higher highs and higher lows.
Capital Account Balance
The difference between a country's net incoming investment and net outgoing investment.
Cash Cost
Direct mining expense and royalties per ounce of gold produced. Includes all mining, milling
and administration expenditures incurred on site, including inventory changes and site-specific
corporate charges. Excludes capitalised costs, depreciation, amortisation, and mine closure costs.
Cash Flow
The difference between the cash coming into an operation and the cash going out of an operation.
Can be calculated by adding the non-cash expenses in the income statement (amortisation,
depreciation) to the operating profit.
CB/ Central Bank
The bank, partly or wholly owned by the government, responsible for setting and maintaining
monetary policy. A CB usually establishes the level of short term interest rates, buys and sells
securities from the private banks in order to adjust bank reserves, supervises certain banking
operations, intervenes in foreign exchange markets as deemed necessary, and acts as a lender
of last resort for the banking system. Refer also to Fractional
Reserve Banking.
CBOE
Chicago Board of Options Exchange
CIBCR
Columbia University Centre for International Business Cycle Research.
Contango
The positive difference, usually expressed as an interest rate, between the forward price of
a commodity and the spot price. The larger the contango the more attractive forward selling
becomes. Refer also to Backwardation.
Correction
A temporary movement in price in the opposite direction to the primary trend. Some analysts
require a specific percentage movement prior to classifying a move as a correction. For example,
a 10% pullback in the value of the Dow is often said to signify that the market has undergone
a correction.
Coupon Pass
The purchase, by the Federal Reserve, of coupons
(debt instruments) from private banks in order to add reserves to the banking system. Refer
also to Fractional reserve Banking.
CPI / Consumer Price Index
The most popular means of indicating changes in the general level of prices. A basket of goods
and services is used and adjustments are made to account for product changes and quality
improvements. Often mistakenly used as a measure of inflation.
CRB Index
Commodities Research Bureau Index. Further details can be found here
Credit
When someone receives something today in exchange for a payment some time in the future, that
person has received credit. An entity's credit worthiness is a measure of the faith in the ability of that
entity to make good on a promise to pay.
Currency
The tool that facilitates the exchange of goods and services between participants in a market.
Current Account Balance
The difference between the income and the expenditure of a country's
residents. It can be calculated as follows:
CAB = total output (GDP) + net income from abroad - total consumption - investment.
It can also be calculated as :
CAB = trade balance + net income from abroad.
Deflation
A contraction in the total quantity of money within an economy. Note that deflation is not a decrease
in the general level of prices, although a general fall in prices is usually a result of deflation.
Deposit Currency
Currency that exists as deposits in accounts at banks, but does
not have any physical form. Deposit currency can be converted to cash currency when a withdrawal is
made. Note private banks are able to create deposit currency, but only the central bank
can create cash (paper) currency.
Derivative
Something that gets (derives) its value from something else. For example, an option to buy a
common stock derives its value from the price of the underlying stock and is hence a derivative.
Discount
- Make allowance for the future in the current price.
- Buy or sell for less than face value.
Discount Rate
The interest rate at which banks are able to borrow money from the US
Federal Reserve.
Dow Theory
Originally designed by Charles Dow as a means of forecasting the business cycle, this theory
requires that a move in the Dow Jones Industrial Average be confirmed by a corresponding
move in the Dow Jones Transportation Average, and vice versa. If one of the averages
makes a new high or a new low, then that new high or low is suspect until the other average
'confirms' the move by also making a new high or low.
ECB
European Central Bank -- Europe's equivalent to the US Federal Reserve.
ECRI
Economic Cycle Research Institute.
Eurodollar
US Dollars on deposit at banks ouside the US.
Fed Funds Rate
The cost of overnight loans between banks in the US. The Fed pegs this rate by buying and selling US
government securities via its Open Market Operations.
Federal Reserve / Fed
The US central bank.
Fiat Currency
Currency that is created out of nothing and without any work. It is not convertible into a physical
quantity (such as gold) and is accepted as a medium of exchange due to government fiat (decree).
Flat
Having no position (short or long).
FOMC
Federal Open Market Committee. This committee is part of the Federal Reserve
and is responsible for setting the Fed Funds Rate
and Discount Rate.
Fractional Reserve Banking
In a system based on fractional reserve banking, the private banks and the central bank have the
monopoly power to create currency. The total value
of deposits at a bank, and therefore the total amount of currency that can be created by a bank,
is limited to a multiple of the bank's reserves. For example, if the reserve requirement is 10%
(a typical value), then for every $100 of deposits at a bank the bank must have at least $10 of
reserves. The central bank
supervises the private banks to ensure that reserves are maintained at or above the required
level. In the US, the Fed adds reserves to the system by buying US Government debt instruments
from the banks (called a 'coupon pass'). In rare cases it
may also decide to drain reserves from the system by selling Government debt instruments to the
banks. Also, if a bank is running short of reserves it can go to the Fed's 'discount window' and
borrow additional reserves at the 'discount rate'.
Fundamental Analysis
An approach based on the analysis of income statements, balance sheets, growth prospects, industry
trends, dividend yields, price/earnings ratios, etc. Fundamental analysis is used to determine an
objective value for a company. If that value is greater than the current market price of the company,
the fundamental analyst may decide to buy the company's stock. Refer also to Technical
Analysis.
G7
Group of Seven. A group of nations consisting of US, UK, Canada, France, Japan, Germany and
Italy. The G7 meets periodically to discuss global economic and financial issues.
GDP / Gross Domestic Product
The total value of a country's domestically produced goods and services.
GNP / Gross National Product
The total worldwide value of the goods and services produced by a country.
Gold Standard
A monetary system under which the paper currency notes are convertible into a fixed weight of
gold. The system is disliked by governments because it restricts their ability to arbitrarily increase
their indebtedness and expand the supply of currency.
Hedging
Minimising risk by being simultaneously long and short.
IMF / International Monetary Fund
An agency set up to supervise the Bretton Woods Agreement. The Bretton Woods Agreement,
constructed shortly after the end of WWII, installed the US Dollar as the world's official reserve
currency. The US Dollar was convertible into gold at a fixed rate and all other major currencies
were linked to the US Dollar. When the US reneged on the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971
by refusing to honour the commitment to exchange gold for US Dollars at the stipulated rate of
$35 per ounce, the IMF became obsolete. But like most government-sponsored organisations, being
obsolete has not stopped the IMF from absorbing substantial funds and involving itself in economic
policy.
Inflation
An increase in the total quantity of money within an economy. Note inflation is not an increase
in the general level of prices, although a general rise in prices is usually a result of inflation.
Interest Rate
The cost (or price) of credit. Or, to put it more accurately: the
interest rate is a measure of peoples' time preferences. People
generally value present goods (goods available today) more highly than
they value future goods (goods that will be produced at some future
time), so present goods usually trade at a premium over future goods.
This premium is the interest rate. The market interest rate varies
according to changes in peoples' time preferences.
Intrinsic Value
- The intrinsic value of an option is the amount by which an option is 'in-the-money'.
- The intrinsic value of a company is the discounted value of the cash it will generate during its life.
- 'Value'
is based on the subjective assessment of each person. As such, nothing
can really be said to have 'intrinsic value'. However, the term
'intrinsic value' is often applied to things that have been created
through physical and / or mental effort and are of use to, or are
desired by, many people.
Lease Rate (Gold)
The cost of borrowing gold. The term 'lease rate' is often used instead of the term 'interest rate' with
reference to precious metal loans.
Leverage
A way of increasing the potential gain (or loss) from an investment.
Gold mining companies are said to be leveraged to the gold price
because a certain percentage rise (or fall) in the gold price will
cause a much greater percentage rise (or fall) in their profits.
LIBOR
London Inter-Bank Offer Rate.
Liquidity Often
refers to cash or something that is readily convertible into cash,
although the phrase "market liquidity" refers to the ease with which
things can be bought/sold without significantly affecting the price.
For example, a market is said to be "liquid" if buy/sell spreads are
narrow and large volumes can be transacted without causing a large
price move. Refer also to our August-2006 article titled "What is Liquidity?"
Long Position
Having bought, but not yet sold. A long position is entered with the aim of profiting from an increase
in price. Refer also to Short Position.
M1
The most liquid forms of money, namely currency in circulation and checkable deposits.
M2
M1 plus savings deposits, small time deposits and
retail money market mutual funds.
M3
M2 plus institutional money funds, large time deposits
and Eurodollars.
Margin
Credit provided by a broker where stock is used to secure the loan. A broker will lend up to
a certain percentage of a stock's market value (usually 50% ), with the client providing the
balance. This balance is called the 'margin', and the practice of buying stocks using money
borrowed from a broker is called buying on margin. If a drop in the market price of the
margined stock causes the amount of the broker's loan, as a percentage of the stock price,
to exceed the maximum limit, then the client will receive a 'margin call'. Failure by the client
to immediately provide additional funds will result in the forced sale of the underlying stock.
This is called 'margin selling'.
Mark to Market
Adjust the value of an asset or liability to reflect the current market price.
Momentum
The ability of a price to continue moving in a particular direction. A stock with strong upside
momentum will tend to close near its high each day and will have greater upside volume than
downside volume.
Monetary Agents
The central bank and the private banks. The monetary agents have a legal monopoly in the
creation of currency.
Monetary Aggregates
Refer to M1, M2
and M3 (these are the monetary aggregates). Refer to the
Fed's H.6 Report
for a more detailed description.
Monetise
Turn into currency. For example, when a bank makes a loan
the amount of the loan is deposited into the account of the borrower. The debt, which becomes an asset
of the bank, is said to have been 'monetised'.
Money
The general medium of exchange and a tool of economic calculation. Refer also to Currency.
Moving Average
An average over a fixed period of time. For example, a stock's 50 day moving average is calculated
by summing the closing prices of the stock over the past 50 trading days and dividing the result by 50.
NAPM
National Association of Purchasing Managers. The Purchasing Management Index (PMI) and
associated prices paid index are issued monthly by the NAPM and are used as indicators of economic
strength and pricing pressures. NAPM is now known as ISM -- Institute of Supply Management.
Nominal (Interest Rate)
Face value -- not adjusted for the effects of inflation.
NPV
Net Present Value -- the sum of the discounted values of future cash flows,
less the initial investment.
Overbought
A term used to describe a market or a stock that has appreciated so rapidly and has generated such
excessively bullish sentiment that a near-term decline is highly likely.
Oversold
A term used to describe a market or a stock that has declined so rapidly and has generated such
excessively bearish sentiment that a near-term rally is highly likely.
Ponzi Scheme
A scam in which high returns are promised and new investors must continue to be drawn in to
pay off earlier investors.
PPI / Producer Price Index
A measure of the prices paid by producers. It is split into three components: crude goods, intermediate
goods and finished goods. Often mistakenly used as a measure of inflation.
Production Cost
Cash Cost plus amortisation, depreciation and mine closure costs. Refer to Cash Cost.
Productivity
A measure of the amount of output that results from a certain amount of input. If there is no
change in the size of the work force and the number of hours worked, then real economic growth
can only be achieved by an increase in productivity.
Real (Interest Rate)
Adjusted for the effects of inflation. The real interest rate is calculated
by subtracting the purchasing power loss due to inflation from the corresponding nominal interest rate.
Real interest rates are often thought to be higher than they actually are because the CPI
is often assumed to represent the effects of inflation on the currency's purchasing power. A
truer picture can be seen by subtracting the rate of money supply growth
from the nominal interest rate.
Resistance
The price at which a prior advance was terminated or a future advance is likely to terminate.
Short Position
Having sold, but not yet covered. A short position is entered with the aim of profiting from a
price decline. When shares are sold short, the short seller borrows the stock in order to transact
the sale. The position must eventually be covered by purchasing the stock in the market and
returning it to the lender.
Stop Loss
A pre-determined price at which a position will be closed to protect against further loss. The
use of 'stop losses' is a good way for traders to manage risk.
Support
The price at which a prior decline was terminated or a future decline is likely to terminate.
Tape / Tape Action
The behaviour of price and volume for a market or an individual stock.
T-Bill
Treasury Bill -- a debt instrument issued by the US government that has a maturity of less than 1 year.
They are sold at a discount such that the percentage difference between the purchase price and the face
(par) value is equal to the interest rate.
T-Bond
Treasury Bond -- a bond issued by the US government. Refer to Bond.
Technical Analysis
The study of historical price and volume information to determine the likely future price direction.
Refer also to Fundamental Analysis.
Technical Indicators
Tools used by a technical analyst to determine the likely future price direction. An extensive list
of technical indicators, complete with descriptions, can be found here.
Trade Balance
The total market value of exports from a country less the total market value of imports into the country.
Wealth Effect
The tendency for people to spend more and save less when their investments (stocks, real estate)
have risen substantially in value. The 'wealth effect' increases consumption and thus GDP during
a prolonged period of rapidly rising asset prices. A 'negative wealth effect' occurs when asset
prices fall over a prolonged period. During the 1990s, the US experienced a positive wealth effect
whereas Japan experienced a negative wealth effect.
XAU
The Philadelphia Gold and Silver Mining Index.
Yield
The percentage return on an investment.
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